Well I'm pulling hard for Best Picture but I definitely don't expect it. Fortunately, Beautiful Mind is starting to get the press that it's a shoo-in, and the senile members of the Academy seem to have an aversion to going along once that kind of thing gets started. But I think PJ has a real good shot at Best Director. He's gotten some press for what many critics think is a superhuman effort, what with the marathon shoot, the special challenges of bringing Tolkien to the screen, etc. And I expect lots of tech awards. McKellen--why not? As good a chance as any of the others.